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The Rush to AI has Risk

8/7/2024

AI is already Designing Itself!

AI is increasingly being used in design; especially for complex microprocessors. There are many advantages but what if we are relying on AI too much, too soon? How do we know that AI is not going to make serious mistakes?

Nvidia AI and Flaws - Who Caused it?

Nvidia just announced a design flaw in its Blackwell AI chip design; this will require a big delay, until 2025. Nvidia did not say if the design flaw was due to an AI or not; but it makes you wonder.

Nvidia has previously stated that their current generation of chips, and all future generations of chips, will have AI involved in design.

Is AI ready for Prime Time?

Meta, Microsoft, Google, and others spent tens of Billions of dollars preordering the3se chips. Google apparently ordered more then 400,000 of the chips - but now everyone has to wait. The new chips can lower processing costs by up to 25 times compared to previous generations - so there is a lot of interest in Blackwell.

The Impact of Design Flaws

At the very least, companies need to allow for this kind of disruption, in their own forecasts, and promises to customers. This disruption in particular will impact many companies because AI processing power needs are growing so rapidly.

In addition, companies producing chips need to have a fair process for how they choose who gets the chips; if they all go to whomever has the most money, that will hurt the market - and will certainly hurt innovation.

You can read more at The Verge.

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Giveaway: Protein Balls!

12/30/2023

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UPDATE: We have a winner!

Congratulations to Jeffrey L., who won 3 bags of Scotts Protein Balls!!!

New Product area: Protein Balls

We are running a contest at our gourmet coffees site, Coffees.com, to give away several free packages of Scotts Proteim Balls! One of them is coffee-flavored. Learn more:

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One Lucky Winner will Receive 3 Packs!

Contest ends Jan 1, 2024. Enter today!

The are also available on Amazon.

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2022: Beginning of the End of Fossil Fuels

4/12/2023

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2022: The Turning Point in Renewables

Wind and solar hit record levels in 2022, and will continue to grow. This means that Fossil Fuels have started their decline.

“A new era of falling fossil emissions means the coal power phase down will happen, and the end of gas power growth is now within sight. Change is coming fast. However, it all depends on the actions taken now by governments, businesses and citizens to put the world on a pathway to clean power by 2040,” according to  Małgorzata Wiatros-Motyka, lead author of the new research. The report was published by Ember.

2023: More Growth in Wind & Solar

Ember analyzed data from 78 countries representing 93% of global demand for electricity to form its conclusions. It is projected for 2023 that new demand for energy will be entirely met by growth in Wind & Solar (and ocean wave power), and that Fossil Fuels will decline in output starting in 2023.

China is the one big question mark, as they keep building new coal plants in China. The Chinese government needs to embrace wind and solar in their new growth plans.

What are the Renewable Energy Types?

Here is a description of every type of renewable energy resource. Hydro and Ocean are separated since Hydro (river) power uses distinctly different methods.

Solar Energy: Solar energy is the energy generated from sunlight. Solar panels, made up of photovoltaic (PV) cells, convert sunlight into direct current (DC) electricity, which can be used to power homes, buildings, and even vehicles. The overall cost of solar energy has significantly decreased in recent years and continues to decline, making it an increasingly affordable renewable energy option. However, solar panels require a large amount of space to be installed and may not work as efficiently on cloudy days.
Wind Energy: Wind energy is generated by the rotation of wind turbines. The kinetic energy from the wind turns the blades of the turbines, which then generate electricity through a generator. The overall cost of wind energy has also decreased in recent years, and it is now one of the most cost-effective renewable energy sources. However, wind turbines can be noisy and require a lot of land to be installed.
Hydro Energy: Hydro energy is generated from the movement of water, which is used to turn turbines and generate electricity. Hydro energy can be generated from dams, run-of-the-river systems, and tidal energy. The overall cost of hydro energy is moderate, with the cost of installation being the primary expense. However, the construction of dams can have a significant impact on the environment and the ecosystems that rely on water systems.
Geothermal Energy: Geothermal energy is generated from the heat of the earth's core. The heat is used to generate steam, which turns turbines and generates electricity. The overall cost of geothermal energy is relatively high, but it has the potential to be one of the most reliable renewable energy sources since it is not dependent on weather conditions. However, geothermal energy is only available in certain areas and may require drilling deep into the earth's surface.
Biomass Energy: Biomass energy is generated from the organic matter in plants and waste materials. This organic matter is burned to produce steam, which turns turbines and generates electricity. The overall cost of biomass energy is moderate, but it is not a sustainable energy source since it involves the burning of materials that release carbon dioxide into the atmosphere.
Ocean Energy: Ocean energy can be generated from the motion of waves, tides, and currents. This energy is harnessed through different technologies such as buoys, turbines, and oscillating water columns. The overall cost of ocean energy is relatively high, and the technology is still in the early stages of development, making it one of the least commercially viable renewable energy options. Additionally, the installation of ocean energy devices may have environmental impacts on marine life.

Each type of renewable energy has its own unique benefits and limitations. Solar and wind energy are becoming increasingly affordable, while hydro energy remains moderately priced. Geothermal energy is one of the most reliable sources of renewable energy, but it is only available in certain areas. Biomass energy is not sustainable, and ocean energy is still in the early stages of development.

The Problem with Coal Continues

China's continued construction of new coal plants is a major contributor to global climate change. As of 2021, China has over 250 gigawatts (GW) of coal-fired power plants under construction, which is more than the total coal-fired capacity of the United States.

Coal plants emit large amounts of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases, which trap heat in the atmosphere and contribute to global warming. They also emit other harmful pollutants such as nitrogen oxides, sulfur dioxide, and particulate matter, which can cause respiratory problems, heart disease, and other health issues.

In addition to air pollution, coal plants also have significant environmental impacts on water and land. Coal-fired power plants consume vast amounts of water for cooling, which can have negative effects on local water resources, aquatic ecosystems, and fish populations. Coal mining, which is required to fuel these plants, can also lead to deforestation, soil erosion, and land degradation.
Furthermore, the construction and operation of coal plants can have negative impacts on nearby communities. Coal-fired power plants can generate noise, produce hazardous waste, and emit pollutants that can harm the health of nearby residents.

The continued construction of new coal plants in China, along with the existing coal-fired power plants, poses a significant challenge for global efforts to address climate change. The burning of coal is the largest source of greenhouse gas emissions globally, and reducing these emissions is crucial to avoiding the worst impacts of climate change. The continued construction of new coal plants in China is a significant environmental problem that contributes to global climate change and air pollution, as well as water and land degradation, and health problems for nearby communities.

What will we see in 2024 and Beyond?

Looking forward to 2024 and beyond, we can expect continued growth in renewable energy as it becomes increasingly cost-competitive and more countries and companies set ambitious targets to reduce carbon emissions. Here are three examples of what we can expect in the growth of renewables:

Solar Energy: The cost of solar panels has been steadily declining, and this trend is expected to continue in the coming years. As a result, we can expect to see continued growth in solar installations globally. In particular, developing countries are expected to be significant contributors to this growth, as they seek to increase access to electricity while also reducing their reliance on fossil fuels.
Wind Energy: Wind energy is another renewable energy source that is expected to continue growing. As technology improves, wind turbines are becoming more efficient and can generate electricity in lower wind speeds. Additionally, offshore wind farms are becoming increasingly popular, as they can take advantage of stronger and more consistent winds. We can expect to see more offshore wind projects being developed in the coming years, particularly in Europe and Asia.
Electric Vehicles: The growth of renewable energy is closely tied to the growth of electric vehicles (EVs). As the cost of batteries continues to decline, we can expect to see more affordable EVs being introduced to the market, which will increase demand for renewable energy to power these vehicles. Additionally, as more charging infrastructure is built, consumers will have greater confidence in the reliability of EVs and be more likely to switch to electric transportation.

Looking at the decline of fossil fuels, we can expect to see a continued shift away from these energy sources as countries and companies set more aggressive emissions reduction targets. Here are three examples of what we can expect in the decline of fossil fuels:

Coal: Coal is expected to continue its decline as countries shift towards cleaner sources of energy. In particular, we can expect to see more countries announcing plans to phase out coal-fired power plants and transition to renewable energy sources. Additionally, financial institutions are increasingly divesting from coal, which will make it more difficult for coal companies to secure financing.
Oil: The demand for oil is expected to decline in the coming years as more countries adopt policies to reduce carbon emissions and transition towards electric vehicles. However, while the COVID-19 pandemic accelerated the shift towards remote work, which reduced the demand for transportation and thus the demand for oil, that trend is disappearing as more and more people are once again commuting to work.
Natural Gas: While natural gas is often seen as a "bridge fuel" to a cleaner energy system, it is also expected to decline in the coming years. As renewable energy sources become more cost-competitive and battery storage technology improves, the need for natural gas as a backup source of energy will decrease. Additionally, concerns around methane leakage during extraction and transportation are likely to increase scrutiny on the use of natural gas.

Now is the Time for Action - by YOU!

It's easy to feel helpless in the face of the daunting challenge of climate change, but the truth is that every single one of us has the power to make a difference. For those of us who want to help the environment, the most important thing we can do is to demand change from those in power, especially the fossil fuel industry. It's time to stand up and speak out, to use our voices and our actions to convince these companies to make the switch to renewables. We must appeal to their sense of responsibility, to their moral obligation to protect our planet for future generations. We must remind them that the time for action is now, and that the health and well-being of our planet is not negotiable. Together, we can create a future that is cleaner, healthier, and more sustainable for us all.

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US Health: Preventative Care Declines

4/8/2023

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Congress Does Not Protect US Healthcare

Preventative care is the best way to be healthier - and to reduce healthcare costs. But the US is controlled by the insurance industry, so Congress does not encourage preveentative care, especially for the poor.

Insurers no longer have to provide cancer and heart screenings at no cost; this is a terrible development, and just bad planning. You can read more at: CNN.

It is weak management skills of politicians that cause this. Because preventing disease is the best way for everyone to be healthier!

What is Preventative Care?

Preventive care refers to measures taken to prevent illness or injury before they occur. This type of care is important for maintaining good health because it can help to identify health issues early, prevent the development of chronic diseases, and improve overall health outcomes. Here are some examples:

Regular check-ups with a doctor: Regular visits to a healthcare professional can help identify health issues early on and prevent the development of chronic diseases. For example, a routine physical exam can help detect high blood pressure, which can be managed with lifestyle changes and medication.
Immunizations: Vaccines are a form of preventive care that can protect against infectious diseases. For example, the flu vaccine can help prevent the spread of the flu virus and protect individuals from getting sick.
Healthy lifestyle choices: Eating a balanced diet, exercising regularly, and avoiding smoking and excessive alcohol consumption can all help prevent chronic diseases like diabetes, heart disease, and cancer.
Screenings: Screening tests are key - for the heart, and mammograms, and colonoscopies, can help detect cancer early, when it is most treatable. This can significantly improve health outcomes and reduce the risk of developing more advanced forms of the disease.

What is the History of Preventative Care?

Preventive care has a long history, dating back to ancient civilizations where methods of disease prevention were developed. In modern times, the focus on preventive care has increased as healthcare providers and governments recognize its importance in improving health outcomes and reducing healthcare costs. Here is a brief summary of the history of preventive care:

Ancient practices: Ancient civilizations such as the Greeks, Romans, and Chinese developed methods for preventing and treating diseases. For example, the Greeks believed in the importance of hygiene and developed public baths and water systems to prevent the spread of disease. The Chinese developed a system of preventative medicine based on acupuncture and herbal remedies.
19th century: In the 19th century, advancements in medical science led to the development of vaccines, which have been crucial in the prevention of infectious diseases such as smallpox and polio. The introduction of public health measures, such as sanitation and quarantine, also helped to prevent the spread of diseases.
20th century: The 20th century saw the development of many new preventive measures, including cancer screenings and cholesterol-lowering medications. The introduction of the concept of “primary prevention,” which focuses on preventing diseases before they occur, led to increased emphasis on lifestyle changes such as diet and exercise.
Recent decades: In recent decades, there has been growing recognition of the importance of preventive care in improving health outcomes and reducing healthcare costs. This has led to the development of programs such as the Affordable Care Act (ACA), which requires insurers to cover certain preventive services without cost-sharing, and the Medicare Annual Wellness Visit, which provides preventive care services to older adults.

Research has consistently shown the benefits of preventive care. For example, a study published in the New England Journal of Medicine found that preventive care interventions such as smoking cessation, blood pressure control, and cholesterol management can lead to a significant reduction in cardiovascular disease. Another study published in the Journal of the American Medical Association found that preventive care services such as cancer screenings and immunizations can lead to improved health outcomes and lower healthcare costs.

What Advances are Coming?

There are many exciting treatments and tests on the horizon for healthcare. Lets hope that politicians can set politics aside and do more to help everyone be healthcare. The simplest step is just having consistent healthcare options for everyone; this would greatly lower the burden of hospitalizations for the very ill. But also, as technology continues to develop, there are several promising avenues for the future of preventive care. Here are some examples:

Nanotechnology: Nanoparticles have the potential to revolutionize disease detection and treatment. For example, nanosensors could be used to detect biomarkers of disease in the blood, urine, or saliva, providing an early warning system for disease. Nanoparticles could also be used to deliver targeted drug therapies directly to affected cells, reducing side effects and improving efficacy.
More sophisticated yet less invasive scans: Advances in imaging technology are making it possible to detect diseases at earlier stages and with greater accuracy. For example, magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and positron emission tomography (PET) scans can provide detailed images of the body's organs and tissues, allowing doctors to detect abnormalities that may be missed by other tests. In addition, new imaging techniques such as optical coherence tomography (OCT) are providing high-resolution images of the retina, which can be used to detect early signs of eye diseases such as glaucoma and age-related macular degeneration.
Advancements in immunology: Recent advances in immunology are leading to the development of new preventive strategies. For example, researchers are developing vaccines that target a wider range of viruses and bacteria, including those that cause cancer. In addition, immunotherapy is being used to treat cancer by harnessing the body's immune system to attack cancer cells.
Deeper understanding of the gut microbiome: The gut microbiome has been linked to a wide range of health conditions, including obesity, diabetes, and inflammatory bowel disease. As our understanding of the gut microbiome continues to grow, new strategies for preventive care may emerge. For example, probiotics and prebiotics may be used to promote a healthy gut microbiome, reducing the risk of chronic disease.

Going Forward -

In conclusion, there are reasons to have a lot of hope for better healthcare. First and foremost is everyone working together to help each other. Fewer sick people benefits everyone. But also, as technology continues to advance, there are many exciting developments in the field of preventive care. Nanotechnology, more sophisticated yet less invasive scans, advancements in immunology, and deeper understanding of the gut microbiome are just a few examples of promising avenues for future research and development in preventive care.

Read this article at CNN, get angry, and start talking about healthcare. Use your vote to show YOU care, about healthcare!

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The Rush to AI has Risk

AI is already Designing Itself!

Nvidia AI and Flaws - Who Caused it?

Is AI ready for Prime Time?

The Impact of Design Flaws

Giveaway: Protein Balls!

UPDATE: We have a winner!

New Product area: Protein Balls

Enter now!

One Lucky Winner will Receive 3 Packs!

2022: Beginning of the End of Fossil Fuels

2022: The Turning Point in Renewables

2023: More Growth in Wind & Solar

What are the Renewable Energy Types?

The Problem with Coal Continues

What will we see in 2024 and Beyond?

Now is the Time for Action - by YOU!

US Health: Preventative Care Declines

Congress Does Not Protect US Healthcare

What is Preventative Care?

What is the History of Preventative Care?

What Advances are Coming?

Going Forward -

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